احتمالات ستار دروب

Every Star Drop rolls a rarity first, then a reward from that rarity’s pool. The rarity roll is independent of the last one — there is no published pity timer, so a run of Rare drops does not make the next one better.

Derived from the rarity table: at a 2% legendary rate it takes 35 drops before a legendary is more likely than not. That is a probability, not a guarantee: by construction, just under half of the players who open that many will still see nothing legendary.

Shares are the pool weights (41.86 / 32.56 / 2.33 / 20.93 / 2.33) divided by their total of 100.01. “Per drop” folds in the 50.00% chance of rolling this rarity at all.

Shares are the pool weights (42.38 / 33.11 / 3.31 / 13.25 / 3.31 / 3.31 / 1.32) divided by their total of 99.99. “Per drop” folds in the 28.00% chance of rolling this rarity at all.

Shares are the pool weights (21.05 / 21.05 / 5.26 / 10.53 / 15.79 / 5.26 / 15.79) divided by their total of 94.73. “Per drop” folds in the 15.00% chance of rolling this rarity at all.

Shares are the pool weights (11.11 / 22.22 / 7.41 / 18.52 / 10.37 / 2.96 / 7.41 / 3.7 / 7.41 / 7.41 / 1.48) divided by their total of 100. “Per drop” folds in the 5.00% chance of rolling this rarity at all.

Shares are the pool weights (42.68 / 18.29 / 18.29 / 6.1 / 2.44 / 12.2) divided by their total of 100. “Per drop” folds in the 2.00% chance of rolling this rarity at all.