Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Brawl Ball · Super Center · Com base em 841,2 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 41 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
841,2 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
105
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
3/6
Banidos
0/6
Banidos

No bans yet.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1PAMPAMS60.0%2.59%10.89PickBan
2TRUNKTRUNKS60.1%1.66%10.23PickBan
3SHADESHADES59.1%2.47%10.01PickBan
4AMBERAMBERS59.3%1.34%9.12PickBan
5MOEMOES58.0%2.21%8.80PickBan
6HANKHANKS57.3%2.88%8.56PickBan
7JAE-YONGJAE-YONGS56.9%2.15%7.69PickBan
8PIPERPIPERS56.6%2.35%7.59PickBan
9KITKITS57.9%1.00%7.33PickBan
10DRACODRACOS57.7%0.95%7.10PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1PAMPAM60.0%2.59%12.68Ban
2SHADESHADE59.1%2.47%11.73Ban
3TRUNKTRUNK60.1%1.66%11.39Ban
4HANKHANK57.3%2.88%10.56Ban
5MOEMOE58.0%2.21%10.33Ban
6AMBERAMBER59.3%1.34%10.05Ban
7PIPERPIPER56.6%2.35%9.22Ban
8JAE-YONGJAE-YONG56.9%2.15%9.18Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Brawl Ball · Super Center over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 41 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek