Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Brawl Ball · Super Beach · Com base em 738 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 3 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
738 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
104
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
4/6
Banidos
0/6
Banidos

No bans yet.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1BELLEBELLES57.8%3.05%9.42PickBan
2ROSAROSAS57.9%2.24%8.97PickBan
3SPROUTSPROUTS57.0%3.04%8.70PickBan
4LUMILUMIS56.9%2.84%8.47PickBan
5SANDYSANDYS57.8%1.25%7.91PickBan
6SPIKESPIKES57.4%1.37%7.74PickBan
7GENEGENES56.0%1.82%6.98PickBan
8DAMIANDAMIANS55.3%2.47%6.77PickBan
9HANKHANKS54.9%2.71%6.55PickBan
10GUSGUSS54.8%2.58%6.40PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1BELLEBELLE57.8%3.05%11.42Ban
2SPROUTSPROUT57.0%3.04%10.69Ban
3ROSAROSA57.9%2.24%10.44Ban
4LUMILUMI56.9%2.84%10.33Ban
5SANDYSANDY57.8%1.25%8.73Ban
6SPIKESPIKE57.4%1.37%8.64Ban
7DAMIANDAMIAN55.3%2.47%8.39Ban
8HANKHANK54.9%2.71%8.33Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Brawl Ball · Super Beach over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 3 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek