Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Hot Zone · Split · Com base em 624,2 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 41 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
624,2 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
106
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
2/6
Banidos
0/6
Banidos

No bans yet.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1BOBOS59.9%3.04%9.94PickBan
2BARLEYBARLEYS59.0%2.66%8.93PickBan
3CLANCYCLANCYS59.0%2.31%8.71PickBan
4STUSTUS59.3%1.39%8.03PickBan
5GENEGENES58.1%2.09%7.68PickBan
6RUFFSRUFFSS62.5%0.41%7.40PickBan
7JACKYJACKYS58.8%1.07%7.08PickBan
8NANINANIS57.4%2.12%7.08PickBan
9MEGMEGS57.7%1.69%6.94PickBan
10ASHASHS57.8%1.55%6.92PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1BOBO59.9%3.04%11.94Ban
2BARLEYBARLEY59.0%2.66%10.68Ban
3CLANCYCLANCY59.0%2.31%10.22Ban
4GENEGENE58.1%2.09%9.05Ban
5STUSTU59.3%1.39%8.95Ban
6NANINANI57.4%2.12%8.48Ban
7LUMILUMI56.7%2.57%8.45Ban
8TICKTICK56.8%2.44%8.36Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Hot Zone · Split over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 41 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek