Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Heist · Pit Stop · Com base em 633 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 483 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
633 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
105
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
3/6
Banidos
0/6
Banidos

No bans yet.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1MANDYMANDYS59.1%3.25%9.45PickBan
2JANETJANETS57.9%3.01%8.28PickBan
3BERRYBERRYS57.7%2.28%7.66PickBan
4BROCKBROCKS57.9%1.40%6.96PickBan
5SURGESURGES56.4%2.99%6.83PickBan
6LARRY & LAWRIELARRY & LAWRIES57.3%1.50%6.57PickBan
7MR. PMR. PS60.6%0.42%6.41PickBan
8CARLCARLS57.1%1.13%5.91PickBan
9SHELLYSHELLYS56.4%1.30%5.61PickBan
10CORDELIUSCORDELIUSS56.8%1.06%5.59PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1MANDYMANDY59.1%3.25%11.45Ban
2JANETJANET57.9%3.01%10.14Ban
3BERRYBERRY57.7%2.28%9.06Ban
4SURGESURGE56.4%2.99%8.67Ban
5BROCKBROCK57.9%1.40%7.82Ban
6LARRY & LAWRIELARRY & LAWRIE57.3%1.50%7.50Ban
7MR. PMR. P60.6%0.42%6.67Ban
8CARLCARL57.1%1.13%6.61Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Heist · Pit Stop over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 483 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek