Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Heist · Hot Potato · Com base em 115,8 mil batalhas

Modo
Mapa
Amostra
115,8 mil
ranked battles · 2026-09-23
Total
59
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
2/6
Banidos
0/6
Escolhidos
Banidos

No bans yet.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1JESSIEJESSIES67.3%4.86%10.51PickBan
2NITANITAS67.3%3.48%9.55PickBan
3BIBIBIBIS67.7%1.89%7.85PickBan
4EDGAREDGARS63.4%5.36%7.70PickBan
5NORINORIS61.1%3.87%5.28PickBan
6SHADESHADEA60.6%2.69%4.28PickBan
7ASHASHA62.5%1.29%3.93PickBan
8DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKEA60.6%1.24%2.97PickBan
9MELODIEMELODIEA59.7%1.61%2.92PickBan
10MICOMICOA58.0%3.38%2.83PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1JESSIEJESSIE67.3%4.86%11.84Ban
2NITANITA67.3%3.48%10.51Ban
3EDGAREDGAR63.4%5.36%9.17Ban
4BIBIBIBI67.7%1.89%8.36Ban
5NORINORI61.1%3.87%6.34Ban
6SHADESHADE60.6%2.69%5.02Ban
7RICORICO56.5%7.31%4.52Ban
8ASHASH62.5%1.29%4.29Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Heist · Hot Potato over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek