Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Heist · Hot Potato · Com base em 113 mil batalhas

Modo

Gem Grab Brawl Ball Heist Bounty Knockout Hot Zone

Mapa

Todos os mapas Hot Potato Kaboom Canyon Bridge Too Far Safe Zone Pit Stop Safe(r) Zone Can't touch this Forks Out

Amostra

113 mil

ranked battles · 2026-09-22

Total

brawlers still available

Escolhidos

1/6

Banidos

0/6

Draft

Redefinir

Escolhidos

BO×

Banidos

No bans yet.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map

#	Nome	Tier	Taxa de vitórias	Taxa de escolha	Pontuação
1	JESSIE	S	67.4%	4.86%	10.48	Pick Ban
2	NITA	S	67.5%	3.47%	9.60	Pick Ban
3	BIBI	S	67.8%	1.91%	7.83	Pick Ban
4	EDGAR	S	63.6%	5.36%	7.80	Pick Ban
5	BULL	S	63.1%	2.86%	6.03	Pick Ban
6	NORI	S	61.2%	3.86%	5.29	Pick Ban
7	SHADE	A	60.6%	2.72%	4.26	Pick Ban
8	ASH	A	62.5%	1.30%	3.91	Pick Ban
9	DYNAMIKE	A	60.8%	1.25%	3.03	Pick Ban
10	MELODIE	A	59.5%	1.60%	2.71	Pick Ban

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is

#	Nome	Taxa de vitórias	Taxa de escolha	Ban value
1	JESSIE	67.4%	4.86%	11.81	Ban
2	NITA	67.5%	3.47%	10.55	Ban
3	EDGAR	63.6%	5.36%	9.27	Ban
4	BIBI	67.8%	1.91%	8.35	Ban
5	BULL	63.1%	2.86%	6.81	Ban
6	NORI	61.2%	3.86%	6.34	Ban
7	SHADE	60.6%	2.72%	5.00	Ban
8	RICO	56.6%	7.32%	4.53	Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Heist · Hot Potato over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.