Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Heist · Hot Potato · Com base em 113,1 mil batalhas

Modo
Mapa
Amostra
113,1 mil
ranked battles · 2026-09-22
Total
58
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
2/6
Banidos
0/6
Escolhidos
Banidos

No bans yet.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1JESSIEJESSIES67.3%4.86%10.47PickBan
2NITANITAS67.5%3.48%9.59PickBan
3EDGAREDGARS63.6%5.36%7.80PickBan
4BULLBULLS63.1%2.86%6.03PickBan
5NORINORIS61.2%3.86%5.29PickBan
6SHADESHADEA60.6%2.71%4.26PickBan
7ASHASHA62.5%1.30%3.91PickBan
8DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKEA60.8%1.25%3.02PickBan
9MELODIEMELODIEA59.5%1.60%2.71PickBan
10EMZEMZA59.0%1.80%2.63PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1JESSIEJESSIE67.3%4.86%11.80Ban
2NITANITA67.5%3.48%10.54Ban
3EDGAREDGAR63.6%5.36%9.27Ban
4BULLBULL63.1%2.86%6.81Ban
5NORINORI61.2%3.86%6.35Ban
6SHADESHADE60.6%2.71%5.00Ban
7RICORICO56.7%7.32%4.56Ban
8ASHASH62.5%1.30%4.27Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Heist · Hot Potato over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek