Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Heist · Hot Potato · Com base em 114,6 mil batalhas

Modo
Mapa
Amostra
114,6 mil
ranked battles · 2026-09-22
Total
59
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
2/6
Banidos
0/6
Escolhidos
Banidos

No bans yet.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1BIBIBIBIS67.9%1.90%7.87PickBan
2EDGAREDGARS63.6%5.35%7.81PickBan
3BULLBULLS63.2%2.85%6.11PickBan
4NORINORIS61.1%3.86%5.20PickBan
5SHADESHADEA60.6%2.70%4.23PickBan
6ASHASHA62.7%1.29%4.00PickBan
7DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKEA60.8%1.24%3.00PickBan
8MELODIEMELODIEA59.8%1.61%2.92PickBan
9EMZEMZA59.1%1.80%2.71PickBan
10MICOMICOA57.9%3.37%2.71PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1EDGAREDGAR63.6%5.35%9.27Ban
2BIBIBIBI67.9%1.90%8.39Ban
3BULLBULL63.2%2.85%6.89Ban
4NORINORI61.1%3.86%6.26Ban
5SHADESHADE60.6%2.70%4.97Ban
6RICORICO56.7%7.32%4.58Ban
7ASHASH62.7%1.29%4.36Ban
8GRIFFGRIFF57.4%4.73%3.97Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Heist · Hot Potato over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek