Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Brawl Ball · Field Goal · Com base em 900,2 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 3 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
900,2 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
105
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
3/6
Banidos
0/6
Banidos

No bans yet.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1SURGESURGES59.5%2.86%9.76PickBan
2JESSIEJESSIES58.7%2.67%8.93PickBan
3SPIKESPIKES59.8%1.27%8.71PickBan
4GLOWYGLOWYS58.5%2.62%8.69PickBan
5MEEPLEMEEPLES58.8%1.63%8.23PickBan
6CHUCKCHUCKS58.5%1.78%8.08PickBan
7CARLCARLS58.2%1.25%7.22PickBan
8RUFFSRUFFSS59.3%0.69%7.12PickBan
9ALLIALLIS56.6%3.12%7.10PickBan
10PENNYPENNYS60.5%0.44%7.08PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1SURGESURGE59.5%2.86%11.59Ban
2JESSIEJESSIE58.7%2.67%10.64Ban
3GLOWYGLOWY58.5%2.62%10.37Ban
4SPIKESPIKE59.8%1.27%9.52Ban
5MEEPLEMEEPLE58.8%1.63%9.27Ban
6CHUCKCHUCK58.5%1.78%9.21Ban
7ALLIALLI56.6%3.12%9.10Ban
8CARLCARL58.2%1.25%8.02Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Brawl Ball · Field Goal over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 3 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek