Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Bounty · Canal Grande · Com base em 650,6 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 121 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
650,6 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
107
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
1/6
Banidos
0/6
Escolhidos
Banidos

No bans yet.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKES61.4%2.87%11.41PickBan
2RUFFSRUFFSS60.3%3.31%10.61PickBan
3TARATARAS59.5%2.98%9.67PickBan
4MEGMEGS59.8%1.40%8.58PickBan
5LEONLEONS58.9%1.95%8.45PickBan
6JUJUJUJUS58.7%2.13%8.40PickBan
7KENJIKENJIS58.3%2.52%8.35PickBan
8KAZEKAZES59.2%1.54%8.28PickBan
9GRIFFGRIFFS59.0%1.03%7.33PickBan
10SAMSAMS57.5%1.45%6.73PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKE61.4%2.87%13.15Ban
2RUFFSRUFFS60.3%3.31%12.61Ban
3TARATARA59.5%2.98%11.48Ban
4KENJIKENJI58.3%2.52%9.87Ban
5JUJUJUJU58.7%2.13%9.69Ban
6LEONLEON58.9%1.95%9.63Ban
7MEGMEG59.8%1.40%9.43Ban
8KAZEKAZE59.2%1.54%9.22Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Bounty · Canal Grande over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 121 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek