Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Bounty · Excel · Com base em 379,1 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 58 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
379,1 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
105
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
0/6
Banidos
2/6
Escolhidos

No brawler taken yet. Add every pick from both teams.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1COLTCOLTS59.0%2.10%8.83PickBan
2ANGELOANGELOS58.6%1.68%8.04PickBan
3RUFFSRUFFSS56.5%3.42%7.57PickBan
4TARATARAS56.3%2.94%7.14PickBan
5COSMOCOSMOS56.4%2.72%7.12PickBan
6SHELLYSHELLYS60.0%0.72%6.91PickBan
7LARRY & LAWRIELARRY & LAWRIES56.2%2.47%6.72PickBan
8DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKES55.8%2.48%6.42PickBan
9MOEMOES55.7%2.30%6.21PickBan
10PENNYPENNYS56.0%1.75%6.02PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1COLTCOLT59.0%2.10%10.06Ban
2RUFFSRUFFS56.5%3.42%9.57Ban
3ANGELOANGELO58.6%1.68%9.02Ban
4TARATARA56.3%2.94%8.86Ban
5COSMOCOSMO56.4%2.72%8.71Ban
6LARRY & LAWRIELARRY & LAWRIE56.2%2.47%8.17Ban
7DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKE55.8%2.48%7.87Ban
8MOEMOE55.7%2.30%7.56Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Bounty · Excel over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 58 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek