Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Hot Zone · Temple of Boom · Com base em 614,8 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 3 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
614,8 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
106
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
0/6
Banidos
2/6
Escolhidos

No brawler taken yet. Add every pick from both teams.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1MINAMINAS61.1%1.56%10.51PickBan
2DARRYLDARRYLS58.2%3.04%9.20PickBan
3TRUNKTRUNKS58.1%2.53%8.76PickBan
4SQUEAKSQUEAKS58.6%1.15%7.73PickBan
5PENNYPENNYS57.1%2.38%7.73PickBan
6BOBOS56.6%2.64%7.50PickBan
7SANDYSANDYS56.6%1.89%6.96PickBan
8JACKYJACKYS57.3%1.01%6.46PickBan
9BERRYBERRYS58.2%0.71%6.40PickBan
10OLLIEOLLIES56.0%1.83%6.32PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1MINAMINA61.1%1.56%11.53Ban
2DARRYLDARRYL58.2%3.04%11.20Ban
3TRUNKTRUNK58.1%2.53%10.43Ban
4PENNYPENNY57.1%2.38%9.29Ban
5BOBO56.6%2.64%9.24Ban
6SQUEAKSQUEAK58.6%1.15%8.49Ban
7SANDYSANDY56.6%1.89%8.21Ban
8OLLIEOLLIE56.0%1.83%7.52Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Hot Zone · Temple of Boom over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 3 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek