Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Hot Zone · Massive Attack · Com base em 420,1 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 2 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
420,1 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
105
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
0/6
Banidos
3/6
Escolhidos

No brawler taken yet. Add every pick from both teams.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1TICKTICKS59.6%2.34%8.96PickBan
2BELLEBELLES59.5%2.02%8.64PickBan
3PENNYPENNYS58.5%2.51%8.17PickBan
4GIGIGIGIS57.6%2.83%7.59PickBan
5STARR NOVASTARR NOVAS60.7%0.87%7.57PickBan
6MICOMICOS58.4%1.83%7.47PickBan
7SIRIUSSIRIUSS56.8%2.89%6.92PickBan
8DAMIANDAMIANS57.9%1.69%6.87PickBan
9OLLIEOLLIES57.8%1.62%6.71PickBan
10BONNIEBONNIES56.6%2.66%6.56PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1TICKTICK59.6%2.34%10.58Ban
2BELLEBELLE59.5%2.02%10.03Ban
3PENNYPENNY58.5%2.51%9.91Ban
4GIGIGIGI57.6%2.83%9.54Ban
5SIRIUSSIRIUS56.8%2.89%8.92Ban
6MICOMICO58.4%1.83%8.74Ban
7BONNIEBONNIE56.6%2.66%8.40Ban
8STARR NOVASTARR NOVA60.7%0.87%8.18Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Hot Zone · Massive Attack over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 2 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek