Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Bounty · The Great Open · Com base em 591 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 2 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
591 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
105
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
0/6
Banidos
3/6
Escolhidos

No brawler taken yet. Add every pick from both teams.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1GROMGROMS59.3%2.61%9.46PickBan
2FRANKFRANKS59.9%1.61%9.08PickBan
3DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKES58.7%2.50%8.81PickBan
4MORTISMORTISS58.8%1.47%7.97PickBan
5RICORICOS57.9%2.28%7.93PickBan
6ASHASHS57.5%2.60%7.76PickBan
7MANDYMANDYS56.7%3.38%7.44PickBan
8FANGFANGS57.5%1.91%7.27PickBan
9MELODIEMELODIES60.1%0.68%7.26PickBan
10COSMOCOSMOS56.3%2.55%6.67PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1GROMGROM59.3%2.61%11.00Ban
2DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKE58.7%2.50%10.29Ban
3FRANKFRANK59.9%1.61%10.03Ban
4MANDYMANDY56.7%3.38%9.44Ban
5ASHASH57.5%2.60%9.30Ban
6RICORICO57.9%2.28%9.28Ban
7MORTISMORTIS58.8%1.47%8.84Ban
8FANGFANG57.5%1.91%8.39Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Bounty · The Great Open over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 2 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek