Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado

Hot Zone · Open Zone · Com base em 819,2 mil batalhas (modelado, não observado)

Apenas 2 batalhas foram arquivadas para esta seleção, e 5.000 são necessárias para medir uma tier list. Uma distribuição modelada determinística é exibida até o arquivo alcançar esse número.
Modo
Mapa
Amostra
819,2 mil
modelado, não observado
Total
105
brawlers still available
Escolhidos
0/6
Banidos
3/6
Escolhidos

No brawler taken yet. Add every pick from both teams.

Picks sugeridos

Pontuação = strength on this map
#NomeTierTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaPontuação
1MINAMINAS61.3%1.50%10.36PickBan
2SANDYSANDYS60.4%2.20%10.28PickBan
3LILYLILYS58.7%2.94%9.12PickBan
4CORDELIUSCORDELIUSS58.3%1.31%7.44PickBan
5MORTISMORTISS58.5%0.89%7.00PickBan
6ASHASHS57.2%1.62%6.86PickBan
7ROSAROSAS55.8%2.93%6.41PickBan
8MAISIEMAISIES56.9%1.36%6.27PickBan
9DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKES56.2%1.77%6.07PickBan
10MAXMAXA56.2%1.36%5.66PickBan

Bans sugeridos

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NomeTaxa de vitóriasTaxa de escolhaBan value
1SANDYSANDY60.4%2.20%11.78Ban
2MINAMINA61.3%1.50%11.38Ban
3LILYLILY58.7%2.94%11.12Ban
4ROSAROSA55.8%2.93%8.40Ban
5CORDELIUSCORDELIUS58.3%1.31%8.33Ban
6ASHASH57.2%1.62%7.97Ban
7MORTISMORTIS58.5%0.89%7.60Ban
8DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKE56.2%1.77%7.27Ban

Como isto é calculado

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Hot Zone · Open Zone over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 2 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Pontuação column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Ferramenta de Picks do Ranqueado · BrawlPeek