Doradca pików rankingowych

Brawl Ball · Below Zero · Na podstawie 1 mln bitew (wartości modelowane, nie zmierzone)

Liczba bitew zarchiwizowanych dla tego wyboru wynosi na razie 30, a do zmierzenia tier listy potrzeba ich 5000. Do tego czasu wyświetlany jest deterministyczny, modelowany rozkład.
Tryb
Mapa
Próba
1 mln
wartości modelowane, nie zmierzone
Łącznie
107
brawlers still available
Wybrani
0/6
Zbanowani
1/6

Draft

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Wybrani

No brawler taken yet. Add every pick from both teams.

Zbanowani

Proponowane piki

Wynik = strength on this map
#NazwaTierProcent zwycięstwProcent wyborówWynik
1SPROUTSPROUTS59.8%2.93%10.60PickBan
2DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKES59.8%2.30%10.22PickBan
3SQUEAKSQUEAKS59.8%2.23%10.20PickBan
4MEGMEGS57.7%2.77%8.59PickBan
5BOLTBOLTS58.5%1.71%8.57PickBan
6ALLIALLIS57.3%2.65%8.10PickBan
7GROMGROMS57.2%2.39%7.82PickBan
8SURGESURGES56.2%2.92%7.25PickBan
9CHUCKCHUCKS56.7%1.72%6.91PickBan
10CROWCROWS56.1%1.95%6.60PickBan

Proponowane bany

strength × how contested the brawler is
#NazwaProcent zwycięstwProcent wyborówBan value
1SPROUTSPROUT59.8%2.93%12.60Ban
2DYNAMIKEDYNAMIKE59.8%2.30%11.79Ban
3SQUEAKSQUEAK59.8%2.23%11.72Ban
4MEGMEG57.7%2.77%10.47Ban
5ALLIALLI57.3%2.65%9.90Ban
6BOLTBOLT58.5%1.71%9.74Ban
7GROMGROM57.2%2.39%9.46Ban
8SURGESURGE56.2%2.92%9.24Ban

Jak to liczymy

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Brawl Ball · Below Zero over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 30 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Wynik column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Doradca pików rankingowych · BrawlPeek