Dereceli Seçim Aracı

Hot Zone · Parallel Plays · 682,5 B savaşa dayanıyor (gözlem değil, model tahmini)

Bu seçim için yalnızca 3.895 savaş arşivlendi; tier listesi ölçülebilmesi için 5.000 savaş gerekiyor. Arşiv yetişene kadar deterministik bir model dağılımı gösteriliyor.
Mod
Harita
Örneklem
682,5 B
gözlem değil, model tahmini
Toplam
108
brawlers still available
Seçildi
0/6
Banlandı
0/6

Draft

Seçildi

No brawler taken yet. Add every pick from both teams.

Banlandı

No bans yet.

Önerilen seçimler

Puan = strength on this map
#AdTierKazanma oranıSeçilme oranıPuan
1SIRIUSSIRIUSS61.8%3.39%12.45PickBan
2JESSIEJESSIES58.0%3.06%8.79PickBan
3GRIFFGRIFFS57.4%2.41%7.83PickBan
4MORTISMORTISS59.1%1.00%7.76PickBan
5ROSAROSAS56.6%2.91%7.41PickBan
6BELLEBELLES57.0%2.14%7.30PickBan
7BEABEAS59.4%0.56%6.72PickBan
8LARRY & LAWRIELARRY & LAWRIES59.9%0.47%6.68PickBan
9JANETJANETS56.3%2.12%6.66PickBan
10COSMOCOSMOS56.7%1.54%6.46PickBan

Önerilen banlar

strength × how contested the brawler is
#AdKazanma oranıSeçilme oranıBan value
1SIRIUSSIRIUS61.8%3.39%14.45Ban
2JESSIEJESSIE58.0%3.06%10.60Ban
3GRIFFGRIFF57.4%2.41%9.25Ban
4ROSAROSA56.6%2.91%9.13Ban
5BELLEBELLE57.0%2.14%8.56Ban
6MORTISMORTIS59.1%1.00%8.35Ban
7JANETJANET56.3%2.12%7.91Ban
8DARRYLDARRYL55.1%3.04%7.85Ban

Nasıl hesaplanıyor

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Hot Zone · Parallel Plays over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 3.895 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Puan column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Dereceli Seçim Aracı · BrawlPeek