Dereceli Seçim Aracı

Hot Zone · Tüm haritalar · 782,3 B savaşa dayanıyor (gözlem değil, model tahmini)

Bu seçim için yalnızca 1.536 savaş arşivlendi; tier listesi ölçülebilmesi için 5.000 savaş gerekiyor. Arşiv yetişene kadar deterministik bir model dağılımı gösteriliyor.
Mod
Harita
Örneklem
782,3 B
gözlem değil, model tahmini
Toplam
106
brawlers still available
Seçildi
1/6
Banlandı
1/6
Seçildi
Banlandı

Önerilen seçimler

Puan = strength on this map
#AdTierKazanma oranıSeçilme oranıPuan
1GRIFFGRIFFS59.3%2.58%10.46PickBan
2CLANCYCLANCYS58.5%2.44%9.65PickBan
3MAXMAXS58.9%1.58%9.26PickBan
4JANETJANETS58.0%2.45%9.14PickBan
5PENNYPENNYS56.6%2.69%8.02PickBan
6GIGIGIGIS56.4%3.07%8.01PickBan
7KENJIKENJIS57.4%1.56%7.82PickBan
8LOULOUS60.2%0.47%7.56PickBan
9COSMOCOSMOS56.4%1.65%7.07PickBan
10SPIKESPIKES56.1%1.89%6.98PickBan

Önerilen banlar

strength × how contested the brawler is
#AdKazanma oranıSeçilme oranıBan value
1GRIFFGRIFF59.3%2.58%12.14Ban
2CLANCYCLANCY58.5%2.44%11.24Ban
3JANETJANET58.0%2.45%10.74Ban
4MAXMAX58.9%1.58%10.29Ban
5GIGIGIGI56.4%3.07%10.01Ban
6PENNYPENNY56.6%2.69%9.77Ban
7KENJIKENJI57.4%1.56%8.84Ban
8SPIKESPIKE56.1%1.89%8.21Ban

Nasıl hesaplanıyor

The ranking comes from the same aggregate the ranked tier list uses: archived ranked battles for Hot Zone over the last seven days, with a floor of 200 picks per brawler before it is scored at all.

Not on this selection, though. Only 1.536 ranked battles have been archived here for it, short of the 5.000 needed to measure a list, so every row below — win rates, pick rates and the sample size alike — comes from the deterministic generator rather than from play. Treat the ordering as illustrative.

Each brawler's raw win rate is first shrunk toward the global win rate of the pool by adding 1,500 pseudo-battles — an empirical-Bayes prior. Without it a brawler with 210 games and one lucky streak would outrank everything. A log-scaled popularity term is then added with a small weight, because a brawler nobody plays is rarely the safe first pick. The result is the Puan column; tiers are standard-deviation bands around the mean score.

Ban value is derived, not measured. It is the same score plus the brawler's pick rate relative to the most-picked brawler left in the pool, weighted ×2.0. It answers “what would hurt most if the enemy took it”, which is not the same question as “what is strongest”.

What this does not do: There is no synergy or counter model here. Every suggestion ranks a brawler against the map alone — it does not know that your team already has two throwers, and it cannot tell you what beats the enemy's last pick. Removing picked and banned brawlers from the pool is the only way the draft affects the list.

Dereceli Seçim Aracı · BrawlPeek